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媒体娱乐

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·媒体娱乐 ·In-house Research

The New York Times: Bundle Economics at Full Value

The New York Times Company is a premium, subscription-led media business whose 13.08 million subscribers, about 12.52 million digital-only, fund journalism, sports via The Athletic, games, cooking, and advertising. The core thesis is that its multi-product bundle makes subscriptions harder to cancel: 2025 subscription revenue reached $1.95 billion of $2.825 billion total, and Q1 2026 digital-only subscription revenue rose 16.1%, yet at roughly 32x trailing earnings and 20x EV/EBITDA the stock prices in much of the next leg, with a temporary tax cash-flow windfall flattering free cash flow and AI search threatening top-of-funnel discovery. Rating Hold: a rare scale winner in paid news, but bundle economics, cash-flow quality, and AI optionality already sit close to full value with no margin of safety for new buyers.

Hold
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·媒体娱乐 ·内部研究

News Corp Class A 深度价值投资研究

News Corp 无投票权 A 类股,与有投票权的 NWS(B 类)同公司不同股份类别。公司是 Dow Jones、REA/Move 数字房产、HarperCollins 与新闻媒体拼成的混合信息服务控股体,护城河分部不均、合并 ROE 仅中单位数、Murdoch 双层股权带来治理折价。当前约 26.10 美元落在合理价值区间内、自由现金流收益率低于美债,安全边际不足,给观察评级,理想买入区间 20-23 美元。

观察
·媒体娱乐 ·内部研究

TKO Group 深度价值投资研究

以 UFC、WWE 为核心的稀缺体育 IP 与版权分销商,品牌强、版权可签多年长约、资本强度低,生意质量优于多数文娱公司。但当前约 205 美元股价对应去年自由现金流约 34.5 倍,安全边际不足,且高估值区债务回购侵蚀复利质量,给观察评级,理想买入区间 90-110 美元。

观察