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·软件与互联网 ·内部研究

Bentley Systems: Durable Infrastructure Compounder, Thin Margin of Safety

Bentley Systems is a specialized infrastructure-engineering software vendor whose economic engine is a recurring estate embedded in civil, utility, and owner-operator workflows, with $1.495 billion ARR, 93% recurring revenue, 99% account retention, and 109% net retention. Full-year 2025 revenue rose 11.0% to $1.502 billion and free cash flow reached $520.2 million, yet a dual-class structure leaves the Bentley Control Group with about 62.8% of voting power and the $30 price sits roughly at conservative fair value. Rating Hold: a high-quality, sticky compounder whose cash conversion the headline P/E understates, but founder control and a thin margin of safety make a fresh buy more attractive below $25.

Hold
·AI 网络安全 ·内部研究

SentinelOne 深度研究

SentinelOne 是 AI 原生端点安全厂商,靠自主检测与 Purple AI、AI-SIEM 等新兴产品扩平台。最新季 ARR 约 11.63 亿美元、同比增 23%,新兴产品已占 ARR 一半,但收入增速从 47% 放缓到 22%、股权激励约占收入 30%、估值较 CrowdStrike 大幅折价。研报评级持有:折价有据,但微软捆绑与龙头挤压让兑现仍需观察。

持有