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·黄金矿业 ·内部研究

Barrick Mining: A World-Class Gold-and-Copper Portfolio in Transition, Discounted for Complexity and Priced Near Fair Value

Barrick Mining is a senior gold-and-copper miner with world-class reserve depth (85Moz gold, 18Mt copper), district quality in Nevada and Pueblo Viejo, and a balance sheet strong enough to fund both record shareholder returns and future growth. Record 2025 cash flow (US$7.69 billion operating, US$3.87 billion free) proved the operating leverage, but the stock trades at a persistent discount to peers because sovereign risk in Mali, a Reko Diq budget review, a Newmont dispute over Nevada, and an unfinished North American carve-out all cloud the path from ore to shareholder value. Rating Hold: the gold cash flows and copper optionality are real, but the price already reflects strong metals and leaves only a moderate cushion against execution risk, with a defensible entry only below roughly US$26.

Hold