纵横研报
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锂电池与储能

03Reports
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·锂电池与储能 ·内部研究

Fluence Energy: Real Storage Backlog, Not Yet Real Margins

Fluence Energy is a grid-scale battery storage systems integrator and software vendor that sells bankable project delivery and risk transfer rather than owning a battery-chemistry moat, backed by a record $5.6 billion order backlog as of March 2026 and two new hyperscaler data-center agreements. Fiscal 2025 revenue fell back to $2.26 billion, first-half fiscal 2026 gross margin was only 7.4% with free cash flow negative $285.4 million, Chinese integrators captured 76% of the global BESS market in 2025, and Fluence remains a Nasdaq-controlled company entangled in AES's pending $33.4 billion take-private sale. Rating Hold: real backlog and software optionality, but cash conversion and governance still lag the demand narrative, and at $16.74 the stock offers no margin of safety for new money.

Hold
·锂电池与储能 ·In-house Research

LG Energy Solution: Strategic Assets, Unproven Returns

LG Energy Solution is the largest Korean large-format battery maker, running a three-part machine of automotive cells for global OEMs, IRA-localized North American capacity, and a fast-growing energy-storage pivot, with 2025 revenue of ₩23.7tn. The 2026 question is whether it can earn real returns on a ₩42.6tn asset base: Q1 2026 still posted a ₩207.8bn operating loss even after ₩189.8bn of AMPC credits, though 46-series backlog has topped 440 GWh and ESS is becoming a credible second leg. Rating Hold: at ₩404,500 the stock trades near 4.0x sales and already prices a recovery, leaving no clear margin of safety until ex-credit profitability inflects.

Hold
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·锂电池与储能 ·内部研究

三星 SDI(006400.KO) 横纵研报

三星 SDI 是韩国最大综合电池公司、全球前五大锂电池厂之一,业务结构 Energy Solutions(EV 电池 + ESS + 小型锂电)约 93%、Electronic Materials 约 7%。FY2025 营收 KRW 13.27 万亿 (-21%)、营业亏 -1.72 万亿、净亏 -649 亿;Q1 2026 营收 3.58 万亿 (+12.6%)、营业亏收窄 -64.2%、净利转正 +561 亿。但 Q1 2026 全球 EV 电池份额跌出前 10(5.3 GWh / -27.7% YoY、vs CATL 40.7%)、2025-05 已增发 1.65 万亿 + 2025-2027 停派息、GM JV 印第安纳推迟 2027 投产、CEO Choi Joo-sun 自 2024-12 接任。

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